Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dayton Flyers v Saint Louis Billikens

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dayton Flyers (Local)

Prediction 37.83%2.64fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.00%37.89%37.76%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.482.6043.48%40.35%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Louis Billikens (Visit)

Prediction 62.17%1.61fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%62.11%62.24%63.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.541.5767.57%65.07%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dayton Flyers (Local): 37.83%; Saint Louis Billikens (Visit): 62.17%. For Dayton Flyers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.65%E -0.635%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-24 23:32
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.65%E -0.635%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.87%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 23:24
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -2.41%E -0.933%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-24 23:35
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.41%E -0.933%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.87%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 23:23
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-24 23:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.79%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-24 23:24
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-24 23:20
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 23:59
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 23:59
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 23:57
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -4.68%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 23:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.01%E -1.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 23:24
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 23:59
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.74%E -4.49%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 23:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 23:20
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 23:24
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 23:20
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 23:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 23:20
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:20
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:24
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:55
SportsBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -7.70%E -3.16%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -6.12%E -4.05%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 00:00
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.08%E -3.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.08%E -3.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 23:24
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.39%E -1.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.39%E -1.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 23:59
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.25%E -2.76%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 23:59
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.87%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 00:00
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.87%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 00:00
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 23:19
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 23:20
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -10.73%E -4.55%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -3.63%E -2.34%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 23:59
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -4.87%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -4.87%E -3.19%K -9.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-02-24 23:54
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-02-25 00:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-02-24 23:55
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-02-25 00:00
BetOpenly2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-02-24 23:59