Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Northridge Matadors v UC San Diego Tritons

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 01:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Northridge Matadors (Local)

Prediction 46.99%2.13fair odd
EV +0.552%
Edge +0.258%
Kelly +0.484%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.83%47.11%46.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.022.022.1453.48%49.62%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC San Diego Tritons (Visit)

Prediction 53.01%1.89fair odd
EV -0.865%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.995%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.89%53.05%56.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8759.88%57.01%57.14%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CSU Northridge Matadors (Local): 46.99%; UC San Diego Tritons (Visit): 53.01%. For CSU Northridge Matadors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.552%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV +0.552%E +0.258%K +0.484%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 01:09
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.05%E -2.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 00:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 01:10
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 01:03
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 01:01
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 00:59
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 00:59
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.17%E -3.48%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 01:02
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.17%E -3.48%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 00:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 00:59
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 01:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 01:10
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.35%E -5.47%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 01:02
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.68%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.35%E -5.47%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 01:05
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.35%E -5.47%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 01:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 01:09
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.09%E -2.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 01:02
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.09%E -2.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 01:02
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.09%E -2.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 01:09
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.03%E -3.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.99%E -1.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 00:59
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.17%E -3.48%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.17%E -3.48%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 01:09
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.17%E -3.48%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 01:09
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.03%E -3.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 00:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.03%E -3.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 01:03
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -6.03%E -3.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -10.94%E -6.51%K -16.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.03%E -3.01%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 01:10
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.97%E -3.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 01:09
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.97%E -3.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.17%E -3.48%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 01:00
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.97%E -3.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 00:59
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.99%E -1.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 01:10
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 01:09
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 01:09
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 01:03
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.32%E -4.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 01:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.13%E -6.49%K -13.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.865%E -0.463%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 01:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-03-13 00:59
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-13 01:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-13 01:10
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%5.0%2026-03-13 01:10
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%5.0%2026-03-13 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-13 01:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-13 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-13 01:05