Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners v CSU Northridge Matadors

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 02:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 23.14%4.32fair odd
EV -0.477%
Edge -0.111%
Kelly -0.144%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.10%23.14%23.16%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.054.104.3026.67%24.70%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit)

Prediction 76.86%1.30fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -8.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.95%76.86%76.84%77.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.241.2781.97%80.69%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Local): 23.14%; CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit): 76.86%. For CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -0.477%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.477%E -0.111%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.24%E -5.11%K -28.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 02:25
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.79%E -0.665%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.93%E -3.14%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 23:25
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.665%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:30
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.79%E -0.665%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:25
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.79%E -0.665%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.47%E -4.45%K -23.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 23:40
Pinnacle🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 23.02%EV -3.25%E -0.778%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.98%EV -3.93%E -3.14%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 23:55
GTbets🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.72%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.93%E -3.14%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.72%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.93%E -3.14%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.72%E -0.894%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.93%E -3.14%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 23:30
Everygame🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.95%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.93%E -3.14%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 23:30
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.93%E -3.14%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 23:25
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.93%E -3.14%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 23:25
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:55
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.11%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 23:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.39%E -1.89%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 23:25
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 23:54
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.24%E -5.11%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 02:25
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.42%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.24%E -5.11%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 23:35
1xBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -8.35%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -5.47%E -4.45%K -23.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 23:35
Fliff🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.58%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.24%E -5.11%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 23:55
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -9.73%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 23:55
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.73%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.24%E -5.11%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 23:35
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.73%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.24%E -5.11%K -28.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.89%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.70%E -3.79%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 23:55
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.39%E -1.89%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.24%E -5.11%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 23:25
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.24%E -5.11%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 23:25
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.21%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.93%E -3.14%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 02:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04%0.1%2026-03-06 02:25
Polymarket4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-03-05 23:25
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-03-06 02:10
ProphetX4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-03-06 02:20
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%2.4%2026-03-06 01:15