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Creighton Bluejays v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Creighton Bluejays (Local)

Prediction 45.70%2.19fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.89%45.58%45.74%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.102.1151.28%48.49%47.62%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 54.30%1.84fair odd
EV +0.453%
Edge +0.245%
Kelly +0.532%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%54.42%54.26%55.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8559.88%56.82%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Creighton Bluejays (Local): 45.70%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 54.30%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.453%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.453%E +0.245%K +0.532%G +0.002%5.3%2026-04-04 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -3.57%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 19:59
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 19:55
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 19:53
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 19:54
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 19:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 19:55
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.68%E -3.80%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 20:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:04
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 19:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 17:34
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.61%E -3.84%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-04-04 20:05
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-04 19:54
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.4%2026-04-04 20:05
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%2.5%2026-04-04 20:05
BetOpenly◎1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%7.6%2026-04-04 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81%1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19%70.9%2026-04-04 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81%1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19%70.9%2026-04-04 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81%1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19%70.9%2026-04-04 20:04