Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 2.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Creighton Bluejays (Local): 65.73%; Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit): 34.27%. For Creighton Bluejays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.40%E -0.933%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -14.33%E -5.73%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 02:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.71%E -1.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.71%E -1.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.71%E -1.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 02:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -4.03%E -2.76%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -2.68%E -0.945%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.69%E -3.23%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.48%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 02:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.34%E -0.821%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 02:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.05%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.76%EV -6.66%E -4.69%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.24%EV -10.56%E -4.05%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 02:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.97%E -5.70%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -3.37%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 02:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.59% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.41% | 0.1% | 2026-04-03 02:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 02:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 02:40 |