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Creighton Bluejays v Providence Friars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Creighton Bluejays (Local)
Prediction 62.07%1.61fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.823%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.45%61.89%62.15%63.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.541.5967.57%65.00%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Providence Friars (Visit)
Prediction 37.93%2.64fair odd
EV +0.515%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.312%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.60%38.11%37.85%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.482.462.6542.02%40.39%40.65%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Creighton Bluejays (Local): 62.07%; Providence Friars (Visit): 37.93%. For Providence Friars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.515%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.515%E +0.194%K +0.312%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.41%E -2.87%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -1.76%E -0.680%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.14%E -0.829%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 21:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.52%E -0.980%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.52%E -0.980%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.41%E -2.87%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.41%E -2.87%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 21:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.41%E -2.87%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.27%E -4.16%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -6.69%E -2.72%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 21:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.31%E -0.823%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.07%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -1.31%E -0.823%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -7.45%E -3.05%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -1.93%E -1.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -1.93%E -1.22%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:18 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.17%E -2.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -9.35%E -3.91%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.73%E -4.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.83% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 38.17% | -0.8% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 21:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |