Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbia Lions v Yale Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbia Lions (Local)

Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV +0.364%
Edge +0.107%
Kelly +0.152%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%29.43%29.53%30.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.4033.33%31.05%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yale Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 70.48%1.42fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -7.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.20%70.57%70.47%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.42%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbia Lions (Local): 29.52%; Yale Bulldogs (Visit): 70.48%. For Columbia Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.364%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.364%E +0.107%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 22:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.364%E +0.107%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:19
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:19
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:19
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:19
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.11%E -0.332%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:19
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.00%E -0.602%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 21:14
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.59%E -0.784%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 22:29
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.59%E -0.784%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 22:54
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.59%E -0.784%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 19:34
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.59%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 19:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 19:34
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:11
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 16:30
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -4.65%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:24
Caesars🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.95%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 15:39
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.74%E -1.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:45
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 20:59
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:19
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.54%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -6.13%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -6.96%E -5.28%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 20:24
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.15%E -3.05%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 14:40
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:19
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:19
888sport🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 22:24
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.96%E -5.28%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 22:54
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.96%E -5.28%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 22:54
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.74%E -1.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 20:19
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.56%E -4.15%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 21:54
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.49%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:40
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.44%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.26%E -4.71%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%0.0%2026-02-28 22:24
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-02-28 22:04
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-02-28 22:04
ProphetX3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%2.3%2026-02-28 22:49
Novig3.37I 29.67%NM 28.90%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.10%2.7%2026-02-28 22:29