Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbia Lions v Dartmouth Big Green

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbia Lions (Local)

Prediction 71.88%1.39fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -6.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.47%71.73%71.88%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.321.3676.92%75.64%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dartmouth Big Green (Visit)

Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%28.27%28.12%29.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.353.373.5031.75%29.85%29.67%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbia Lions (Local): 71.88%; Dartmouth Big Green (Visit): 28.12%. For Dartmouth Big Green (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.24%E -1.65%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:38
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.96%E -2.20%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:35
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.68%E -2.75%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.68%E -2.75%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.23%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.68%E -2.75%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.23%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:00
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -3.68%E -2.75%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -9.17%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.58%E -0.450%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -2.70%E -0.781%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:39
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:35
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:50
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:35
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:40
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:35
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.84%E -4.46%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -5.84%E -4.46%K -18.83%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:34
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.56%E -5.04%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:50
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.56%E -5.04%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.56%E -5.04%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.56%E -5.04%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.56%E -5.04%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:45
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.56%E -5.04%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.56%E -5.04%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-02-21 18:40
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-02-21 18:35
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-02-21 18:42