Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbia Lions v Brown Bears

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbia Lions (Local)

Prediction 66.74%1.50fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -8.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%66.80%66.78%67.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.421.431.4471.94%70.32%69.93%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brown Bears (Visit)

Prediction 33.26%3.01fair odd
EV -0.228%
Edge -0.076%
Kelly -0.114%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.28%33.20%33.22%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.852.853.0036.36%35.08%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbia Lions (Local): 66.74%; Brown Bears (Visit): 33.26%. For Brown Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.228%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 22:04
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 22:19
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 21:14
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 21:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.89%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 21:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 13:24
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.89%E -2.70%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 13:24
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.228%E -0.076%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:35
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:39
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:39
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 14:19
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 22:14
Everygame🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 18:54
TAB🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 17:14
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 19:24
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 19:39
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.56%E -3.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.23%E -3.68%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.89%E -0.641%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.23%E -3.68%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 14:19
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.23%E -3.68%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.23%E -3.68%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:39
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.89%E -4.18%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 13:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 17:14
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 17:15
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.21%E -2.58%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:19
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:19
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 14:19
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.56%E -4.69%K -16.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 13:34
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%EV -7.23%E -5.20%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82%-0.1%2026-02-27 22:04
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-02-27 23:49
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-02-27 23:49
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-02-27 23:49
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%3.1%2026-02-27 21:49