Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Buffaloes (Local): 70.06%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 29.94%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.79%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.79%E +0.526%K +0.744%G +0.013% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -0.309%E -0.093%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.21%E -0.366%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.61%E -1.88%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.70%E -0.832%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.70%E -0.832%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.70%E -0.832%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.70%E -0.832%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -6.12%E -4.56%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.60%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 22:48 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.01%E -2.93%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -5.10%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 01:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 01:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 01:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 01:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 01:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 00:02 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 00:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 01:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 01:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 01:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 01:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 01:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -13.78%E -4.78%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 01:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.71%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 01:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 01:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 01:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-02-26 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83% | 2.5% | 2026-02-25 23:24 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 01:49 |