Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Buffaloes v Arizona Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 04:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 11.88%8.42fair odd
EV +6.90%
Edge +0.766%
Kelly +0.862%
Growth +0.059%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.63%11.96%11.89%14.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.567.309.0015.38%13.23%13.70%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 88.12%1.13fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -30.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.64%88.04%88.11%89.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.091.081.1093.46%92.15%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Buffaloes (Local): 11.88%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 88.12%. For Colorado Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.42. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +6.90%E +0.766%K +0.862%G +0.059%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 04:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +6.90%E +0.766%K +0.862%G +0.059%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 03:59
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +6.90%E +0.766%K +0.862%G +0.059%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 04:05
BetOnline.ag🎯8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV +4.04%E +0.462%K +0.521%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 04:04
LowVig.ag🎯8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV +4.04%E +0.462%K +0.521%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 04:04
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.957%E +0.113%K +0.128%G +0.001%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 04:04
theScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.957%E +0.113%K +0.128%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
GTbets🎯8.45I 11.83%NM 11.43%EV +0.363%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.57%EV -3.95%E -3.62%K -43.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 04:05
FanDuel🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -0.231%E -0.027%K -0.031%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 04:04
Bovada🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -2.01%E -0.244%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:01
Fanatics🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.98%E -0.623%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.95%E -3.62%K -43.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 04:04
Bet Right🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.98%E -0.623%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:59
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.98%E -0.623%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 03:59
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.98%E -0.623%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 04:04
Pinnacle🎯7.98I 12.53%NM 12.11%EV -5.22%E -0.654%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.89%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 04:04
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.95%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -3.95%E -3.62%K -43.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 04:04
Everygame🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -7.95%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -3.95%E -3.62%K -43.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 04:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.92%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 04:04
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.92%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 04:04
1xBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.92%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 03:59
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.92%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 04:01
Fliff🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -12.11%E -1.64%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 04:04
Marathon Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.94%EV -14.48%E -2.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.06%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 03:59
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:03
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 04:04
Betsson🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 03:59
NordicBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 03:59
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 04:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 04:04
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -16.86%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 04:04
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -19.83%E -2.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 04:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -19.83%E -2.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.95%E -3.62%K -43.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 04:04
PlayUp🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -22.80%E -3.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -3.95%E -3.62%K -43.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 04:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-03-08 03:59
ProphetX8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%0.2%2026-03-08 04:05
Novig9.52I 10.50%NM 10.36%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.64%1.4%2026-03-08 04:04
Polymarket9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21%1.9%2026-03-08 04:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%8.2%2026-03-08 04:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%8.2%2026-03-08 04:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.27%9.1%2026-03-08 04:04