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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers v Marshall Thundering Herd
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local)
Prediction 43.12%2.32fair odd
EV -0.831%
Edge -0.361%
Kelly -0.639%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.07%42.89%46.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.202.202.3049.50%45.53%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit)
Prediction 56.88%1.76fair odd
EV -0.455%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.606%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.58%56.93%57.11%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.681.7562.50%59.68%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Local): 43.12%; Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit): 56.88%. For Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.75, with an expected value of -0.455%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.831%E -0.361%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.69%E -0.743%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 17:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.69%E -0.743%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.69%E -0.743%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.42%E -1.53%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -8.16%E -3.83%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -5.57%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -9.89%E -4.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -12.90%E -6.39%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -0.455%E -0.260%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 17:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93% | 2.7% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |