Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland St Vikings v Northern Kentucky Norse

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland St Vikings (Local)

Prediction 23.37%4.28fair odd
EV -0.666%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.205%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.45%23.59%23.29%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.584.064.104.2527.93%24.63%24.39%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit)

Prediction 76.63%1.31fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -6.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.97%76.41%76.71%77.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.231.2881.97%80.81%81.30%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland St Vikings (Local): 23.37%; Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit): 76.63%. For Cleveland St Vikings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -0.666%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.666%E -0.157%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.666%E -0.157%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 23:49
Bally Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.666%E -0.157%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 23:49
LeoVegas🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.666%E -0.157%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.666%E -0.157%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.666%E -0.157%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 23:50
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.666%E -0.157%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.666%E -0.157%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 23:49
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.666%E -0.157%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.900%E -0.212%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -0.900%E -0.212%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 23:45
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.83%E -0.437%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:54
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.83%E -0.437%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:45
GTbets🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.83%E -0.437%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:50
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.83%E -0.437%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:49
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 23:55
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 23:54
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.98%E -4.02%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 23:50
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 23:50
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 23:50
888sport🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 23:44
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 23:50
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 23:49
Fliff🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 23:55
Pinnacle🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -8.15%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.43%EV -1.92%E -1.50%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 22:00
TAB🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 23:50
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 20:54
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.51%E -5.34%K -29.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 23:54
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 23:45
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -5.75%E -4.67%K -24.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 23:45
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 20:23
1xBet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -13.05%E -3.51%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 20:24
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.22%E -3.37%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -16.33%E -4.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.97%EV -3.45%E -2.74%K -13.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 23:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly4.72I 21.19%NM 21.20%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.80%-0.1%2026-02-25 23:49
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-02-25 23:55
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-02-25 23:55
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-02-25 23:50
Novig4.33I 23.09%NM 22.54%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46%2.5%2026-02-25 23:50