Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland St Vikings v IUPUI Jaguars

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland St Vikings (Local)

Prediction 46.24%2.16fair odd
EV +0.798%
Edge +0.366%
Kelly +0.677%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.54%46.20%46.22%49.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1851.28%49.02%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IUPUI Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 53.76%1.86fair odd
EV +2.15%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +2.39%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.65%53.80%53.78%56.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.771.9060.61%56.41%56.50%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland St Vikings (Local): 46.24%; IUPUI Jaguars (Visit): 53.76%. For IUPUI Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -9.84%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV +2.15%E +1.13%K +2.39%G +0.051%3.9%2026-03-02 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:50
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:50
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:50
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:50
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -8.45%E -4.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.91%E -4.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.91%E -4.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -1.62%E -0.883%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -9.37%E -4.78%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -2.15%E -1.18%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.84%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -2.69%E -1.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-02 23:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:45
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:55
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:43
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 23:54
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 23:55
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 23:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 23:50
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 23:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-02 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 23:55
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 23:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 23:50
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.589%E -0.274%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.45%E -3.71%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 23:53
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.45%E -3.71%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 23:50
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.84%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 23:55
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 23:55
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +0.798%E +0.366%K +0.677%G +0.005%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -8.60%E -5.06%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.83%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.60%E -5.06%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-02 23:55
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.60%E -5.06%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 23:55
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.60%E -5.06%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 23:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.60%E -5.06%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-02 23:50
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -9.14%E -5.41%K -13.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 23:55
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -1.51%E -0.711%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -10.75%E -6.48%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -1.05%E -0.491%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -11.29%E -6.84%K -17.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-03-02 23:55
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-03-02 23:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-03-02 23:55
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-03-02 23:55
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-03-02 23:55