Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland St Vikings v Fort Wayne Mastodons

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland St Vikings (Local)

Prediction 40.02%2.50fair odd
EV +0.052%
Edge +0.021%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.23%40.17%39.92%42.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.352.352.5044.84%42.60%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fort Wayne Mastodons (Visit)

Prediction 59.98%1.67fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.62%59.83%60.08%61.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.601.6566.23%62.68%62.70%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland St Vikings (Local): 40.02%; Fort Wayne Mastodons (Visit): 59.98%. For Cleveland St Vikings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.499. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.052%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.052%E +0.021%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.03%E -4.54%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.95%E -0.795%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.95%E -0.795%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 17:09
SportsBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -2.35%E -0.963%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -9.43%E -6.25%K -18.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:15
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.75%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 17:09
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.15%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 17:10
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.55%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 18:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 18:44
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:10
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:09
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:09
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:09
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.75%E -2.00%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 18:54
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.55%E -2.35%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.83%E -1.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 15:10
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -5.55%E -2.35%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -7.03%E -4.54%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 17:14
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 16:35
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:15
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.03%E -4.54%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 18:55
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.03%E -4.54%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 17:09
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.03%E -4.54%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 17:10
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:55
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 17:10
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 17:10
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.03%E -0.627%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.03%E -0.627%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.03%E -0.627%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.03%E -0.627%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 16:49
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.03%E -0.627%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.03%E -0.627%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 16:49
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.03%E -0.627%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 16:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.03%E -0.627%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.03%E -0.627%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 16:50
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.03%E -0.627%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -10.75%E -4.82%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.63%E -0.996%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 16:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -10.75%E -4.82%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%-0.2%2026-02-22 18:25
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-02-22 18:15
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-02-22 17:10
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-02-22 16:55
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%2.0%2026-02-22 18:55