Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers (Local)

Prediction 77.89%1.28fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -10.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%77.85%77.96%79.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.221.211.2584.03%82.30%82.64%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 22.11%4.52fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.469%
Kelly +0.599%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 4.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.87%22.15%22.04%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.284.274.6225.64%23.36%23.42%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clemson Tigers (Local): 77.89%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 22.11%. For Florida St Seminoles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.11%EV -4.98%E -4.08%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.89%EV +2.17%E +0.469%K +0.599%G +0.013%3.6%2026-02-21 16:55
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.54%E -5.45%K -32.68%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +0.619%E +0.136%K +0.174%G +0.001%5.3%2026-02-21 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.98%E -4.08%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:55
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.98%E -4.08%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.98%E -4.08%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:25
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.486%E -0.108%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.70%E -0.613%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 13:29
Caesars🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.20%E -3.41%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -3.80%E -0.874%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 13:29
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.42%E -2.76%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 16:25
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.42%E -2.76%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 13:25
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.54%E -5.45%K -32.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.54%E -5.45%K -32.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.54%E -5.45%K -32.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.91%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.42%E -2.76%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.42%E -2.76%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 13:25
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -5.57%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:04
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.42%E -2.76%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.01%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 04:10
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.54%E -5.45%K -32.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.01%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 13:55
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.54%E -5.45%K -32.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.01%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 16:25
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.32%E -6.15%K -38.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.01%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.32%E -6.15%K -38.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.01%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.98%E -4.08%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.12%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 04:10
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.98%E -4.08%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.12%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 04:10
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.33%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.33%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.33%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:20
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.33%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:25
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.33%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.54%E -5.45%K -32.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.33%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.00%EV -5.76%E -4.76%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -10.44%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.54%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 16:55
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.64%E -2.11%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.54%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 13:30
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.98%E -4.08%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.54%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:24
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.54%E -5.45%K -32.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.75%E -3.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.54%E -5.45%K -32.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.75%E -3.53%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 04:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 80.25%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.75%-0.3%2026-02-21 16:55
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 79.00%4.74I 21.10%NM 21.00%0.5%2026-02-21 16:48
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-02-21 14:05
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-02-21 16:45
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-02-21 16:50