Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 85.69%1.17fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -24.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.70%85.61%85.51%86.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1392.59%89.98%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 14.31%6.99fair odd
EV +0.170%
Edge +0.024%
Kelly +0.028%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.37%14.39%14.49%16.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.506.507.0017.39%15.39%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 85.69%; Utah Utes (Visit): 14.31%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.99. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.170%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.170%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 16:19
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.170%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 16:15
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.170%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 17:55
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.170%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 16:14
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.45%E -6.90%K -93.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.170%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -1.26%E -0.183%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:55
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.74%E -5.22%K -57.41%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -2.69%E -0.396%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.74%E -5.22%K -57.41%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -2.69%E -0.396%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 16:10
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 16:25
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -4.12%E -0.615%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -5.41%E -0.819%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -5.41%E -0.819%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -3.17%E -2.81%K -24.39%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV -5.55%E -0.842%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-10 18:55
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.73%EV -6.60%E -6.05%K -73.31%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.27%EV -6.27%E -0.957%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.17%E -2.81%K -24.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:30
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:30
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 16:19
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:45
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 18:44
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 18:45
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.74%E -5.22%K -57.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 16:15
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.60%E -6.05%K -73.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.60%E -6.05%K -73.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.98%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.60%E -6.05%K -73.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 16:15
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.60%E -6.05%K -73.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 18:30
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -12.71%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 17:10
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.17%E -2.81%K -24.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.88%E -4.40%K -44.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.74%E -5.22%K -57.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.03%E -3.60%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -17.72%E -3.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 87.09%7.76I 12.89%NM 12.91%-0.2%2026-03-10 18:55
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-03-10 18:55
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-10 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-03-10 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-03-10 18:45
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 87.03%7.58I 13.19%NM 12.97%1.7%2026-03-10 18:55
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-03-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-03-10 18:55