Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats v Oklahoma St Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 79.49%1.26fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -13.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.90%79.49%79.42%81.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.181.2285.47%84.18%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 20.51%4.87fair odd
EV +7.70%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.140%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.22%20.51%20.58%22.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.704.605.2523.81%21.30%21.74%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 79.49%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 20.51%. For Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.87. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +7.70%E +1.47%K +1.81%G +0.140%4.5%2026-02-28 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.68%E +1.28%K +1.59%G +0.106%4.7%2026-02-28 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.68%E +1.28%K +1.59%G +0.106%4.7%2026-02-28 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.68%E +1.28%K +1.59%G +0.106%4.7%2026-02-28 17:44
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.68%E +1.28%K +1.59%G +0.106%4.7%2026-02-28 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.68%E +1.28%K +1.59%G +0.106%4.7%2026-02-28 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.68%E +1.28%K +1.59%G +0.106%4.7%2026-02-28 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +6.68%E +1.28%K +1.59%G +0.106%4.7%2026-02-28 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +0.523%E +0.107%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-28 17:45
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV -1.12%E -0.232%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -2.14%E -0.450%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -2.14%E -0.450%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:45
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.55%E -0.538%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.55%E -0.538%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.58%E -0.762%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.58%E -0.762%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:40
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.58%E -0.762%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.58%E -0.762%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:39
Everygame🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -4.61%E -0.991%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -4.61%E -0.991%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:14
Caesars🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:43
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:19
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.93%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.07%EV -6.25%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:14
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:14
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 18:19
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.49%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -8.50%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:49
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -8.71%E -1.96%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:41
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.73%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:49
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -11.17%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:48
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -11.79%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:14
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.84%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.84%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-02-28 18:55
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-02-28 18:49
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.70%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.30%2.0%2026-02-28 18:44
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%2.1%2026-02-28 18:49