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Cincinnati Bearcats v Minnesota Golden Gophers

Kickoff: 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 74.42%1.34fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -10.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.92%74.32%74.40%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.281.3080.00%78.42%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit)

Prediction 25.58%3.91fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -0.997%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%25.68%25.60%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.753.8028.57%26.94%26.67%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 74.42%; Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit): 25.58%. For Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -2.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -3.26%E -2.50%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -6.12%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-09 23:25
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.26%E -2.50%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-09 23:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-09 22:35
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-09 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-09 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-09 22:35
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-09 22:34
Everygame🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-09 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-09 22:35
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-09 23:35
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-09 23:49
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-09 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-09 22:50
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-09 23:24
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.35%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-09 23:25
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 01:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.00%E -3.10%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 01:10
picklebet_au🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.74%E -3.71%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-09 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.74%E -3.71%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.35%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-09 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.74%E -3.71%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.35%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-09 22:35
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.74%E -3.71%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-09 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.74%E -3.71%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.91%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-09 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.49%E -4.32%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.49%E -4.32%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 22:30
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.49%E -4.32%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.49%E -4.32%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.49%E -4.32%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 22:30
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.49%E -4.32%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.49%E -4.32%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.49%E -4.32%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.735%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.49%E -4.32%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-09 22:30
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -6.23%E -4.95%K -23.97%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -4.84%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.98%E -5.58%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.98%E -5.58%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.98%E -5.58%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.98%E -5.58%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.98%E -5.58%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.98%E -5.58%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.35%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 22:34
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.98%E -5.58%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.63%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 22:35
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.98%E -5.58%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.63%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 22:35
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.98%E -5.58%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.98%E -5.58%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.47%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 22:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.74%4.12I 24.27%NM 24.26%0.0%2026-11-09 23:55
ProphetX◎1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-11-09 23:55
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-11-09 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-11-09 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-11-09 23:55
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-11-09 23:00
Polymarket◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-11-09 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-11-09 23:50

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