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Cincinnati Bearcats v BYU Cougars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)
Prediction 54.22%1.84fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.722%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.32%54.10%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.751.751.8260.61%57.22%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
BYU Cougars (Visit)
Prediction 45.78%2.18fair odd
EV +0.709%
Edge +0.322%
Kelly +0.591%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%45.68%45.90%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.052.2050.00%48.32%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 54.22%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 45.78%. For BYU Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.709%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.709%E +0.322%K +0.591%G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.709%E +0.322%K +0.591%G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 02:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.709%E +0.322%K +0.591%G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.206%E -0.095%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.58%E -0.735%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.735%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.58%E -0.735%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.04%E -0.952%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 01:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.03%E -2.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.53%E -6.38%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.53%E -6.38%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.16%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -1.31%E -0.722%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 02:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 01:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 01:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 02:04 |