Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago St Cougars v Central Connecticut St Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago St Cougars (Local)

Prediction 38.80%2.58fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.419%
Kelly -0.689%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%38.87%38.84%41.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.5543.48%41.03%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Connecticut St Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 61.20%1.63fair odd
EV -0.851%
Edge -0.525%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.99%61.13%61.16%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6266.67%64.69%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago St Cougars (Local): 38.80%; Central Connecticut St Blue Devils (Visit): 61.20%. For Central Connecticut St Blue Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -0.851%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.07%E -0.419%K -0.689%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.23%E -0.886%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 18:35
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 18:35
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:35
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:35
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.56%E -1.85%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 18:34
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:34
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:35
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:35
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.46%E -0.909%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 18:49
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:35
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:34
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -7.28%E -3.04%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:34
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:35
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.14%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:35
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 18:40
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -9.60%E -4.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -0.851%E -0.525%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:45
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.20%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%-0.2%2026-02-21 18:55
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-02-21 18:50
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-02-21 18:50
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.5%2026-02-21 18:50