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Chattanooga Mocs v The Citadel Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chattanooga Mocs (Local)
Prediction 74.15%1.35fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -6.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%74.02%74.15%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.281.3280.00%78.25%78.13%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 25.85%3.87fair odd
EV +0.821%
Edge +0.211%
Kelly +0.283%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%25.98%25.85%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.683.703.9030.30%27.20%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chattanooga Mocs (Local): 74.15%; The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit): 25.85%. For The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.821%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.821%E +0.211%K +0.283%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.821%E +0.211%K +0.283%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 21:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.57%E -5.22%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.821%E +0.211%K +0.283%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +0.563%E +0.145%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +0.563%E +0.145%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.76%E -0.464%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.76%E -0.464%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -2.28%E -0.603%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 20:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.31%E -5.85%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.31%E -5.85%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.87%E -2.19%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.31%E -5.85%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -2.12%E -1.61%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.31%E -5.85%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.31%E -5.85%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.31%E -5.85%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.31%E -5.85%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.61%E -2.77%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.69%E -4.45%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.17% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.83% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 21:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |