Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers v UAB Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Prediction 43.18%2.32fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.447%
Kelly +0.780%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.35%43.06%43.14%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.182.3448.78%45.66%45.87%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UAB Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 56.82%1.76fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.94%56.86%58.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.691.7362.50%59.49%59.17%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte 49ers (Local): 43.18%; UAB Blazers (Visit): 56.82%. For Charlotte 49ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV +1.05%E +0.447%K +0.780%G +0.008%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 23:15
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +0.614%E +0.263%K +0.462%G +0.003%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +0.614%E +0.263%K +0.462%G +0.003%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +0.614%E +0.263%K +0.462%G +0.003%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 23:14
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.682%E -0.296%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:15
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.84%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.98%E -2.35%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.84%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.98%E -2.35%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 23:15
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.84%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.98%E -2.35%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 23:19
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.84%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.98%E -2.35%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 23:14
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.84%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.84%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:15
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.84%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:15
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.70%E -1.66%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.98%E -2.35%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 23:45
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.98%E -2.35%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 23:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.98%E -2.35%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 23:50
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.86%E -2.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 23:20
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.86%E -2.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.86%E -2.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.86%E -2.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 23:20
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.86%E -2.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.86%E -2.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 23:20
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.86%E -2.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.73%E -3.11%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:20
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.73%E -3.11%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:20
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.73%E -3.11%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:20
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.73%E -3.11%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -6.73%E -3.11%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.82%E -4.16%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:50
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.16%E -3.33%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.16%E -3.33%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.09%E -5.68%K -15.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 23:15
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.16%E -3.33%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.09%E -5.68%K -15.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 23:15
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.59%E -3.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -7.59%E -3.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -4.55%E -2.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 23:20
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.45%E -3.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.27%E -1.32%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.45%E -3.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:15
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.45%E -3.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:14
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.32%E -4.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.70%E -0.985%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.32%E -4.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.70%E -0.985%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.32%E -4.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.70%E -0.985%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:20
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -10.18%E -4.90%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 23:55
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.48%E -5.60%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.41%E -2.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 23:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-03-04 23:25
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-03-04 23:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-03-04 23:35
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%2.8%2026-03-04 23:55
BetOpenly2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%6.3%2026-03-04 23:15