Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charleston Cougars v Monmouth Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charleston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 64.71%1.55fair odd
EV -0.986%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.86%64.73%64.53%66.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.491.5371.43%67.74%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monmouth Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 35.29%2.83fair odd
EV +0.563%
Edge +0.197%
Kelly +0.304%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.49%35.27%35.47%38.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.662.652.8541.67%37.65%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charleston Cougars (Local): 64.71%; Monmouth Hawks (Visit): 35.29%. For Monmouth Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.563%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.563%E +0.197%K +0.304%G +0.002%4.5%2026-02-21 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.563%E +0.197%K +0.304%G +0.002%4.5%2026-02-21 18:06
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -7.46%E -5.22%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV +0.210%E +0.074%K +0.114%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 20:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.93%E -1.95%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.93%E -1.95%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 20:50
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -3.32%E -1.21%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:45
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.93%E -1.95%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 20:31
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.93%E -1.95%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:45
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 20:52
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:49
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:50
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -5.79%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 20:55
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 20:50
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:25
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.49%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.85%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -6.85%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 20:54
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.20%E -2.74%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 19:50
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -0.986%E -0.645%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -10.02%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 20:55
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.93%E -1.95%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.02%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.93%E -1.95%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.02%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.93%E -1.95%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.02%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 20:55
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.63%E -1.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.79%E -4.71%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.63%E -1.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.79%E -4.71%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 20:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -15.32%E -6.38%K -10.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -15.32%E -6.38%K -10.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-02-21 20:50
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-02-21 20:55
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-02-21 20:55
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%3.2%2026-02-21 20:55