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Central Michigan Chippewas v Western Michigan Broncos

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Michigan Chippewas (Local)

Prediction 61.60%1.62fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.90%61.59%61.58%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.561.5866.67%64.69%64.10%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Michigan Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 38.40%2.60fair odd
EV -0.939%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -0.594%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%38.41%38.42%40.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.452.452.5842.92%40.77%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Michigan Chippewas (Local): 61.60%; Western Michigan Broncos (Visit): 38.40%. For Western Michigan Broncos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.58, with an expected value of -0.939%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -2.67%E -1.69%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -5.16%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 20:30
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.28%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 20:31
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.28%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.28%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.70%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.28%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.70%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:35
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.28%E -2.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.32%E -0.515%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.32%E -0.515%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 16:00
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.09%E -0.820%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 17:55
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 20:35
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.70%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.70%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.70%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.70%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.70%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.77%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 21:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.90%E -2.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.54%E -4.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 21:35
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.51%E -2.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.55%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.47%E -0.974%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.13%E -3.33%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:34
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.939%E -0.364%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 13:58
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.24%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 20:35
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.01%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 16:35
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 17:54
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.36%E -4.19%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.93%E -2.42%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.36%E -4.19%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.47%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.36%E -4.19%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:34
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.36%E -4.19%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:40
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.98%E -4.62%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.85%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 16:50
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.00%E -3.80%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.59%E -5.06%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.00%E -3.80%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-02-21 16:04
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-02-21 21:55
ProphetX◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-02-21 21:10
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-02-21 21:55