Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Connecticut St Blue Devils v Wagner Seahawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Connecticut St Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 61.15%1.64fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%61.03%61.08%63.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.551.541.6166.23%64.57%64.94%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wagner Seahawks (Visit)

Prediction 38.85%2.57fair odd
EV +0.220%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.140%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.92%38.97%38.92%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.482.5844.44%40.76%40.32%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Connecticut St Blue Devils (Local): 61.15%; Wagner Seahawks (Visit): 38.85%. For Wagner Seahawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.220%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -7.66%E -5.07%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV +0.220%E +0.085%K +0.140%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.168%E -0.065%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.168%E -0.065%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 23:00
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.945%E -0.371%K -0.610%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.66%E -5.07%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.945%E -0.371%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:49
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.11%E -0.837%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 21:38
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.11%E -0.837%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:55
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:48
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:25
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:25
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:25
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.44%E -1.81%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 23:20
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.76%E -1.74%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -5.22%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 23:00
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.54%E -0.957%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.76%E -1.74%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.76%E -1.74%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 23:44
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:50
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:15
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:14
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.66%E -4.63%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.66%E -4.63%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -11.82%E -5.21%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:50
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.15%E -1.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.60%E -5.60%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 23:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-03-04 23:50
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-03-04 23:55
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-04 23:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-04 23:45
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%3.1%2026-03-04 23:55