Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.27
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Connecticut St Blue Devils (Local): 77.92%; St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (Visit): 22.08%. For St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.57%E +0.342%K +0.437%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.57%E +0.342%K +0.437%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.636%E -0.141%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.636%E -0.141%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.636%E -0.141%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.636%E -0.141%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 12:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.74%E -0.391%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 17:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -2.40%E -0.544%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 12:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.84%E -0.646%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.05%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.05%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.05%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.05%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.05%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.16%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.16%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.26%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.26%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.26%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.26%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.36%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -8.59%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.04%E -0.821%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -12.78%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -12.78%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -1.82%E -1.45%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -13.88%E -3.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -18.30%E -4.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -18.30%E -4.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 77.11% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.89% | -0.2% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 2.7% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.17% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |