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Canisius Golden Griffins v Merrimack Warriors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Canisius Golden Griffins (Local)
Prediction 20.94%4.78fair odd
EV +1.54%
Edge +0.317%
Kelly +0.400%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.70%20.91%20.83%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.544.604.8523.81%22.02%21.74%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Merrimack Warriors (Visit)
Prediction 79.06%1.26fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -16.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%79.09%79.17%80.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2285.47%83.38%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Canisius Golden Griffins (Local): 20.94%; Merrimack Warriors (Visit): 79.06%. For Canisius Golden Griffins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +1.54%E +0.317%K +0.400%G +0.006% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.91%E -4.97%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.555%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.555%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.555%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.555%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.555%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.555%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.555%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.555%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 22:03 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.555%E -0.117%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -2.23%E -0.477%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -4.33%E -3.58%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -2.23%E -0.477%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -4.33%E -3.58%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -2.23%E -0.477%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -4.33%E -3.58%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.33%E -3.58%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.33%E -3.58%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 21:22 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 21:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.70%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.49%E -6.41%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 21:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -4.74%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.54%E -2.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -5.37%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -3.54%E -2.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 22:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.54%E -2.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 21:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.54%E -2.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.49%E -6.41%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 21:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -6.63%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.70%E -5.68%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 21:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.84%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -6.70%E -5.68%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.88%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.54%E -2.90%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 21:27 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.88%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.88%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.88%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.88%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -9.35%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -5.91%E -4.97%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -11.02%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.91%E -4.97%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 21:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -11.02%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.91%E -4.97%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 21:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.12%E -4.27%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.70%E -5.68%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.70%E -5.68%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.95I 20.20%NM 20.16% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.84% | 0.2% | 2026-02-27 23:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 23:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Novig◎ | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.60% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.40% | 2.4% | 2026-02-27 23:49 |