Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears v UIC Flames

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 70.83%1.41fair odd
EV -0.844%
Edge -0.603%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.92%70.94%70.70%72.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.4076.92%74.57%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UIC Flames (Visit)

Prediction 29.17%3.43fair odd
EV +0.651%
Edge +0.189%
Kelly +0.266%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.82%29.06%29.30%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.203.203.4534.48%31.24%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 70.83%; UIC Flames (Visit): 29.17%. For UIC Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.651%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.80%E -4.36%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +0.651%E +0.189%K +0.266%G +0.002%4.2%2026-03-19 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.80%E -4.36%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +0.651%E +0.189%K +0.266%G +0.002%4.2%2026-03-19 02:55
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.09%E -3.80%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.27%E -0.677%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 02:05
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.68%E -2.70%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.80%E -4.36%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:00
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.80%E -4.36%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -3.68%E -2.70%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 02:55
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.39%E -3.25%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 22:00
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.80%E -4.36%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.18%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 02:15
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.68%E -2.70%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 02:10
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.51%E -4.93%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.10%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 02:15
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -5.80%E -4.36%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -8.68%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 02:10
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -0.844%E -0.603%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 02:55
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.68%E -2.70%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 21:40
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.80%E -4.36%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.93%E -6.10%K -26.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 22:00
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.93%E -6.10%K -26.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.56%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 22:00
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.39%E -3.25%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.48%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 02:50
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -2.97%E -2.17%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -15.39%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-03-19 02:55
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-19 02:55
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.10%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.90%1.2%2026-03-19 02:55
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-03-19 02:45
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-03-19 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-03-19 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-03-19 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-03-19 02:30