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California Golden Bears v Stanford Cardinal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
California Golden Bears (Local)
Prediction 52.43%1.91fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%52.48%52.24%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.8557.80%55.57%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stanford Cardinal (Visit)
Prediction 47.57%2.10fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.52%47.76%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.0552.36%50.04%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 52.43%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 47.57%. For Stanford Cardinal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -2.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.57%E -2.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.19%E -4.06%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.82%E -2.94%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.29%E -5.37%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.87%E -2.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |