L’École des cotes

California Golden Bears v SMU Mustangs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 03:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prévision 37.09%2.70cote équitable
EV +1.99%
Avantage +0.723%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.29%37.04%37.05%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.542.552.7542.19%39.30%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SMU Mustangs (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.91%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -3.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.24%62.96%62.95%64.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.521.531.5668.97%65.97%65.36%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +1.99%E +0.723%K +1.14%G +0.023%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 02:40
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.72%E -0.650%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 02:40
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.09%E -0.793%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 02:15
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.83%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.78%E -6.05%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 02:15
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.11%E -2.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 00:03
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 22:55
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 22:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.37%E -2.88%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 23:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 02:39
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -4.32%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -3.11%E -2.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 23:15
Caesars2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.32%E -1.67%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 02:55
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.69%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.85%E -1.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 02:54
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.69%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.85%E -1.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 02:55
SportsBet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -4.69%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.52%E -5.11%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 02:14
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.85%E -1.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 02:54
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:20
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:20
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:19
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:20
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:19
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:20
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:19
888sport2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 02:54
888sport (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 02:55
Mr Green (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 02:54
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.52%E -5.11%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 02:39
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.52%E -5.11%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 02:15
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.52%E -5.11%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 02:39
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.11%E -2.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 02:55
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 23:20
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 23:19
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 23:25
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 02:55
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.37%E -2.88%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 02:53
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -7.66%E -3.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -6.26%E -4.20%K -12.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 02:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.03%E -3.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.00%E -3.31%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 23:20
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.03%E -3.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.00%E -3.31%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.14%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.74%E -2.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 02:54
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.14%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.37%E -2.88%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 20:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -12.11%E -5.11%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 02:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -12.11%E -5.11%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -5.63%E -3.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 02:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%-0.2%2026-02-26 02:55
Novig2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-02-26 02:54
ProphetX2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-02-26 02:55
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-02-26 02:05
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-02-26 01:35