The School of College Oddsodds.college
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California Golden Bears v Saint Joseph's Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 68.05%1.47fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -6.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.13%68.08%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.401.4373.53%71.81%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Joseph's Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 31.95%3.13fair odd
EV -0.639%
Edge -0.205%
Kelly -0.303%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.80%31.87%31.92%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.953.1136.36%34.09%33.90%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 68.05%; Saint Joseph's Hawks (Visit): 31.95%. For Saint Joseph's Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.11, with an expected value of -0.639%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.69%E -1.88%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.37%E -2.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.37%E -2.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 00:45
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.05%E -2.87%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.19%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 00:30
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.958%E -0.309%K -0.456%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 00:49
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.56%E -0.838%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 15:54
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 15:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.35%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 15:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.14%E -4.41%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.41%E -3.89%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -0.639%E -0.205%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 15:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.41%E -3.89%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -0.639%E -0.205%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 15:55
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.09%E -4.41%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.958%E -0.309%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 15:54
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.09%E -4.41%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.99%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:19
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.09%E -4.41%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:09
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.77%E -4.94%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.35%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -6.77%E -4.94%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.54%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.45%E -5.48%K -20.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -12.14%E -4.41%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 15:55
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.45%E -5.48%K -20.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -12.14%E -4.41%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-03-23 00:50
Polymarket◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-23 00:49
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-23 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-03-22 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-03-22 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-03-22 23:25
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%2.4%2026-03-23 00:54
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%3.0%2026-03-23 00:45