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Cal Poly Mustangs v CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cal Poly Mustangs (Local)
Prediction 79.88%1.25fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -15.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.92%79.86%79.97%81.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.191.2185.47%83.87%84.03%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit)
Prediction 20.12%4.97fair odd
EV +2.60%
Edge +0.511%
Kelly +0.635%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.66%20.14%20.03%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.654.755.1023.81%21.52%21.05%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Poly Mustangs (Local): 79.88%; CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit): 20.12%. For CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +2.60%E +0.511%K +0.635%G +0.017% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.54%E -5.59%K -38.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.592%E +0.118%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 23:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -1.42%E -0.290%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -1.42%E -0.290%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -2.83%E -0.586%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -2.83%E -0.586%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.43%E -0.715%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.43%E -0.715%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.43%E -0.715%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 23:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.44%E -0.934%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.34%E -2.76%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 22:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.46%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.34%E -2.76%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -9.47%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.47%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 23:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.47%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.47%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.47%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -10.47%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.48%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.48%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -12.48%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.50%E -3.41%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -15.50%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.50%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 23:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.74%E -4.86%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.50%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 23:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.87% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 18.13% | 0.1% | 2026-03-07 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 23:55 |