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Cal Baptist Lancers v Tarleton State Texans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cal Baptist Lancers (Local)
Prediction 75.66%1.32fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -8.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.70%75.67%75.67%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.70%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tarleton State Texans (Visit)
Prediction 24.34%4.11fair odd
EV -0.209%
Edge -0.051%
Kelly -0.067%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.33%24.33%25.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.923.904.1027.03%25.51%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Baptist Lancers (Local): 75.66%; Tarleton State Texans (Visit): 24.34%. For Tarleton State Texans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -0.209%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -2.40%E -1.86%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-01 01:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.15%E -2.46%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.15%E -2.46%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.15%E -2.46%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.32%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.15%E -2.46%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.32%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.15%E -2.46%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.32%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.91%E -3.08%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.91%E -3.08%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.86%E -0.977%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 01:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.91%E -3.08%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.91%E -3.08%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 01:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.67%E -3.70%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.67%E -3.70%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 01:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.67%E -3.70%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 01:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.67%E -3.70%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 01:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -4.67%E -3.70%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -9.46%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 21:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.209%E -0.051%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 01:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 01:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 01:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 01:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 01:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.18%E -4.98%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.18%E -4.98%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.94%E -5.64%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 01:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.94%E -5.64%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 01:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.69%E -6.31%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 01:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.69%E -6.31%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.87% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 23.13% | 0.1% | 2026-03-01 01:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 01:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 01:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.01% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 01:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-01 01:50 |