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Cal Baptist Lancers v Abilene Christian Wildcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cal Baptist Lancers (Local)
Prediction 79.85%1.25fair odd
EV -0.987%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.62%79.85%79.87%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.201.2486.21%83.67%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit)
Prediction 20.15%4.96fair odd
EV +0.754%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.189%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%20.15%20.13%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.634.705.0023.81%21.59%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Baptist Lancers (Local): 79.85%; Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit): 20.15%. For Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.754%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.78%E -4.90%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.754%E +0.151%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.58%E -5.62%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.754%E +0.151%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -4.98%E -4.18%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV +0.150%E +0.030%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.78%E -4.90%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -5.78%E -4.90%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -1.46%E -0.299%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.78%E -4.90%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -3.88%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -3.88%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -3.88%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 18:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.38%E -2.80%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.29%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -5.29%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 02:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.37%E -6.36%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.29%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.37%E -6.36%K -46.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.29%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.38%E -2.80%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 02:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.58%E -2.12%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.38%E -2.80%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.18%E -3.48%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.58%E -5.62%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -5.78%E -4.90%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -10.33%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.98%E -4.18%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -0.987%E -0.796%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -13.35%E -3.10%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.58%E -2.12%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.35%E -3.10%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -4.98%E -4.18%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -13.35%E -3.10%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.78%E -4.90%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.78%E -4.90%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.69% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 19.31% | -0.0% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.98% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |