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BYU Cougars v UCF Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
BYU Cougars (Local)
Prediction 87.82%1.14fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -22.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%87.78%88.01%89.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.091.1195.24%92.53%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UCF Knights (Visit)
Prediction 12.18%8.21fair odd
EV +10.88%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.146%
assuming max odds 9.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.52%12.22%11.99%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.697.509.1015.38%13.01%13.33%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 87.82%; UCF Knights (Visit): 12.18%. For UCF Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.21. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +10.88%E +1.20%K +1.34%G +0.146% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +9.66%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.117% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -6.92%E -6.52%K -115.26%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV +6.61%E +0.756%K +0.853%G +0.056% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 04:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -6.92%E -6.52%K -115.26%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV +6.61%E +0.756%K +0.853%G +0.056% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 04:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.66%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.34%EV +3.81%E +0.447%K +0.507%G +0.019% | 3.5% | 2026-02-25 03:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.92%E -6.52%K -115.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.57%E +0.420%K +0.476%G +0.017% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 04:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.92%E -6.52%K -115.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +3.57%E +0.420%K +0.476%G +0.017% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 04:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -1.43%E -0.177%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -1.43%E -0.177%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.98%EV -3.40%E -3.09%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 12.02%EV -1.92%E -0.238%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 03:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.92%E -6.52%K -115.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 03:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.79%E -7.42%K -155.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.53%E -0.316%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 03:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -4.96%E -0.636%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.92%E -6.52%K -115.26%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -5.57%E -0.719%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -8.62%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 04:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.40%E -3.09%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 03:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.16%E -4.78%K -64.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 03:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.04%E -5.64%K -86.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 03:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.92%E -6.52%K -115.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.92%E -6.52%K -115.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.71%E -2.10%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -2.52%E -2.27%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -17.76%E -2.63%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.40%E -3.09%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -20.80%E -3.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.28%E -3.93%K -47.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -20.80%E -3.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 04:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.77% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 10.23% | 0.4% | 2026-02-25 03:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 2.1% | 2026-02-25 04:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 2.1% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.09% | 8.06I 12.41%NM 11.91% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 04:09 |