Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.71
assuming max odds 2.34
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 56.64%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 43.36%. For Texas Longhorns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -5.97%E -3.60%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV +1.46%E +0.622%K +1.09%G +0.016% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -6.54%E -3.96%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV +1.46%E +0.622%K +1.09%G +0.016% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -5.97%E -3.60%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV +0.155%E +0.067%K +0.118%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -5.97%E -3.60%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV +0.155%E +0.067%K +0.118%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.278%E -0.121%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.278%E -0.121%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 23:26 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.54%E -3.96%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.278%E -0.121%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.27%E -2.53%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.54%E -3.96%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.54%E -3.96%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.54%E -3.96%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.27%E -2.53%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.75%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 23:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.14%E -1.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.61%E -2.10%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.27%E -2.53%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.61%E -2.10%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.61%E -2.10%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.24%E -5.09%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.61%E -2.10%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 23:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.14%E -1.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.78%E -3.15%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.27%E -2.53%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.78%E -3.15%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.78%E -3.15%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.41%E -3.24%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.78%E -3.15%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.37%E -5.86%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.78%E -3.15%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.37%E -5.86%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.78%E -3.15%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.54%E -3.96%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -7.22%E -3.37%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.54%E -3.96%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -7.22%E -3.37%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 23:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.54%E -3.96%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 23:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.54%E -3.96%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.08%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.95%E -4.26%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.95%E -4.26%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.71%E -2.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.95%E -4.26%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.27%E -2.53%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.95%E -4.26%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.84%E -2.88%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.95%E -4.26%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 23:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.54%E -3.96%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.95%E -4.26%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 23:33 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.37% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.63% | -0.3% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 2.6% | 2026-03-19 23:34 |