Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 82.79%1.21fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -7.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.04%82.44%82.96%84.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.151.1989.29%86.39%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 17.21%5.81fair odd
EV +4.11%
Edge +0.680%
Kelly +0.815%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 6.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.86%17.56%17.04%20.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.455.265.336.0522.47%19.02%18.78%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 82.79%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 17.21%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.62%E -4.93%K -40.13%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +4.11%E +0.680%K +0.815%G +0.034%4.2%2026-03-10 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.62%E -4.93%K -40.13%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +4.11%E +0.680%K +0.815%G +0.034%4.2%2026-03-10 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.79%E -4.17%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +1.53%E +0.260%K +0.313%G +0.005%3.9%2026-03-10 20:35
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -4.79%E -4.17%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV +0.673%E +0.115%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-10 21:10
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.79%E -4.17%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.62%E -4.93%K -40.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.45%E -5.70%K -49.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.14%EV -3.96%E -3.42%K -24.77%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.86%EV -1.56%E -0.273%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 22:40
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.79%E -4.17%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -1.91%E -0.335%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.79%E -4.17%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.63%E -0.648%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 22:10
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.79%E -4.17%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.63%E -0.648%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 20:35
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.13%E -2.68%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 18:40
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.13%E -2.68%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 21:05
Fanatics🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.96%E -3.42%K -24.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.79%E -4.17%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.79%E -4.17%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:35
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.79%E -4.17%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:40
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.62%E -4.93%K -40.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.62%E -4.93%K -40.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 18:35
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 18:40
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.45%E -5.70%K -49.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.07%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 18:35
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.62%E -4.93%K -40.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 22:54
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.27%E -6.49%K -60.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 18:35
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.96%E -3.42%K -24.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -10.51%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:35
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.62%E -4.93%K -40.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.95%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 12:49
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.62%E -4.93%K -40.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.95%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 12:49
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.62%E -4.93%K -40.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.95%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 12:49
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -3.96%E -3.42%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -16.54%E -3.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 22:24
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.48%E -1.24%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -17.40%E -3.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.48%E -1.24%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -17.40%E -3.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.48%E -1.24%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -17.40%E -3.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 22:45
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.48%E -1.24%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -17.40%E -3.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.48%E -1.24%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -17.40%E -3.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -1.48%E -1.24%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -17.40%E -3.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 22:45
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -1.48%E -1.24%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -18.26%E -3.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -1.48%E -1.24%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -18.26%E -3.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -1.48%E -1.24%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -18.26%E -3.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -1.48%E -1.24%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -18.26%E -3.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.31%E -1.95%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -18.26%E -3.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -3.13%E -2.68%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -19.12%E -4.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -3.13%E -2.68%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -19.12%E -4.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -2.31%E -1.95%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -23.42%E -5.26%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.19I 84.03%NM 84.32%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.68%-0.3%2026-03-10 22:45
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-10 22:15
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-03-10 22:55
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-03-10 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-03-10 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-03-10 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-03-10 21:45
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%2.2%2026-03-10 22:55