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Butler Bulldogs v Xavier Musketeers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Butler Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 62.66%1.60fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%62.41%62.86%63.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.531.5667.57%65.50%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xavier Musketeers (Visit)
Prediction 37.34%2.68fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.392%
Kelly -0.630%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.60%37.59%37.14%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.502.6542.55%39.91%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Butler Bulldogs (Local): 62.66%; Xavier Musketeers (Visit): 37.34%. For Xavier Musketeers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.26%E -1.45%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.77%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 17:57 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.26%E -1.45%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.26%E -1.45%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -11.12%E -4.67%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -11.12%E -4.67%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -11.12%E -4.67%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.88%E -1.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -12.24%E -5.21%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.51%E -2.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.03%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.14%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.04%E -0.392%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.14%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.04%E -0.392%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.14%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.79%E -0.679%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 18:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.14%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.14%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.14%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.65%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 16:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.14%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.14%E -2.70%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.38%E -4.32%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.91%E -1.12%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.77%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.51%E -3.47%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.38%E -4.32%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.76%E -3.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.38%E -4.32%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.39%E -3.57%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.02%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.77%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.02%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.77%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.02%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.77%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.02%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.64%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.02%E -4.01%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.51%E -3.47%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.15%E -2.03%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.89%E -2.34%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.38%E -4.32%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.27%E -4.91%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.38%E -4.32%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.74% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.26% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |