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Butler Bulldogs v Providence Friars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Butler Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 46.68%2.14fair odd
EV +0.362%
Edge +0.169%
Kelly +0.315%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.65%46.37%46.75%47.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.53%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Providence Friars (Visit)
Prediction 53.32%1.88fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.86%53.63%53.25%55.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8158.82%56.99%57.31%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Butler Bulldogs (Local): 46.68%; Providence Friars (Visit): 53.32%. For Butler Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.362%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.362%E +0.169%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.362%E +0.169%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 19:42 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -0.104%E -0.049%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.104%E -0.049%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.104%E -0.049%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.104%E -0.049%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.104%E -0.049%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.104%E -0.049%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.104%E -0.049%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.04%E -0.490%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.29%E -4.82%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.04%E -0.490%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.29%E -4.82%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.04%E -0.490%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.29%E -4.82%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.04%E -0.490%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.82%E -5.16%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.97%E -0.939%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.36%E -5.50%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.97%E -0.939%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.36%E -5.50%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 11:33 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.16%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.82%E -5.16%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.24%E -2.58%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.24%E -2.58%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -5.24%E -2.58%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.71%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 02:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.82%E -5.16%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.57%E -3.82%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.57%E -3.82%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.97%E -4.60%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.97%E -4.60%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-03-11 19:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 19:55 |