Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bulls v Central Michigan Chippewas

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bulls (Local)

Prediction 69.52%1.44fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -6.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%69.52%69.54%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.381.4076.92%72.83%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit)

Prediction 30.48%3.28fair odd
EV +3.62%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.055%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.48%30.46%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.103.4035.71%32.60%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Bulls (Local): 69.52%; Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit): 30.48%. For Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.62%E +1.07%K +1.51%G +0.055%4.6%2026-02-28 18:24
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -9.62%E -7.40%K -32.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV +1.19%E +0.357%K +0.511%G +0.006%7.0%2026-02-28 04:19
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.36%E -2.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -0.947%E -0.292%K -0.421%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-28 17:49
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -6.84%E -5.10%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -1.56%E -0.482%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:29
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -1.86%E -0.578%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 17:54
Everygame🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.47%E -0.772%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 18:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.47%E -0.772%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 15:05
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -3.08%E -0.969%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 17:53
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:54
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -2.67%E -1.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 18:45
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.67%E -1.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 18:41
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:34
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.52%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.84%E -5.10%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -6.74%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.67%E -1.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.57%E -2.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:19
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.67%E -1.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.57%E -2.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 18:24
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.57%E -2.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:34
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.57%E -2.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:49
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.57%E -2.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:49
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.67%E -1.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.67%E -1.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.09%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.22%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:54
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.22%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.22%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.22%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.06%E -2.94%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.14%E -4.61%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -14.66%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:19
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.45%E -4.01%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -14.66%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 69.96%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.04%-0.0%2026-02-28 18:54
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-02-28 18:55
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-02-28 18:54
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%2.5%2026-02-28 18:54
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-02-28 18:54