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Buffalo Bulls v Canisius Golden Griffins

2026-11-15 22:30 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bulls (Local)

Prediction 91.47%1.09fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -50.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.04%91.47%91.47%92.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.061.061.0695.24%94.64%94.34%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Canisius Golden Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 8.53%11.73fair odd
EV +10.87%
Edge +0.836%
Kelly +0.906%
Growth +0.099%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.47%8.53%8.53%11.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.8010.2710.0013.0012.82%9.74%10.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Bulls (Local): 91.47%; Canisius Golden Griffins (Visit): 8.53%. For Canisius Golden Griffins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.73. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 13.00, producing a positive expected value of +10.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.96%E -3.77%K -79.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +10.87%E +0.836%K +0.906%G +0.099%2.9%2026-11-14 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.04%E -2.87%K -50.67%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -14.71%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-14 23:05
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -3.04%E -2.87%K -50.67%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -33.48%E -4.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-14 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-11-15 00:44
ProphetX◎1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%6.8%2026-11-15 00:40
Polymarket◎1.09I 91.74%NM 75.34%3.33I 30.03%NM 24.66%21.8%2026-11-15 00:35

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