Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucknell Bison v Army Knights

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucknell Bison (Local)

Prediction 51.85%1.93fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.00%51.70%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.821.831.8756.50%54.99%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Army Knights (Visit)

Prediction 48.15%2.08fair odd
EV -0.820%
Edge -0.398%
Kelly -0.774%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.00%48.30%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.962.0652.36%50.55%51.02%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bucknell Bison (Local): 51.85%; Army Knights (Visit): 48.15%. For Army Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.06, with an expected value of -0.820%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.03%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.03%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:44
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.60%E -3.40%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:50
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:43
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.63%E -2.87%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:40
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 21:30
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 21:34
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.71%E -1.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.63%E -2.87%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:45
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.63%E -2.87%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:45
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.56%E -3.94%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.14%E -3.39%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.08%E -3.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 23:05
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.30%E -0.635%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.56%E -3.94%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 23:40
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.56%E -3.94%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 23:40
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 23:15
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 23:45
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -7.18%E -4.01%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -1.78%E -0.874%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.820%E -0.398%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.820%E -0.398%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.820%E -0.398%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:40
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -0.820%E -0.398%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.30%E -0.635%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.30%E -0.635%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 23:40
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 23:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-03-03 23:45
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-03 23:50
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-03-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%4.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%4.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%4.3%2026-03-03 23:50
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%4.3%2026-03-03 23:55
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%6.4%2026-03-03 23:45