Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brown Bears v Pennsylvania Quakers

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brown Bears (Local)

Prediction 51.03%1.96fair odd
EV -0.493%
Edge -0.253%
Kelly -0.519%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.81%51.05%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.851.9555.56%53.88%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit)

Prediction 48.97%2.04fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.19%48.95%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.942.0054.05%51.84%51.55%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brown Bears (Local): 51.03%; Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit): 48.97%. For Brown Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.493%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.493%E -0.253%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:20
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.02%E -1.05%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -5.49%E -2.84%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 23:55
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 23:50
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.07%E -2.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.07%E -2.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.49%E -2.84%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.98%E -3.11%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 22:39
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:39
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 22:14
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:20
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:25
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.98%E -3.11%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 22:39
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.98%E -3.11%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.96%E -3.66%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.09%E -2.73%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.02%E -2.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.09%E -2.73%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.02%E -2.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.09%E -2.73%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.02%E -2.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.09%E -2.73%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.02%E -2.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:55
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:15
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:15
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:14
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:14
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.51%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.00%E -2.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:14
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:49
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 21:20
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.06%E -1.03%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.49%E -2.84%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 23:14
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.49%E -2.84%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 23:15
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:55
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.96%E -3.66%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.96%E -3.66%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 23:49
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.47%E -3.39%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 23:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-03-06 23:50
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-03-06 23:50
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-06 23:50
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-03-06 23:55
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%7.4%2026-03-06 22:20