Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradley Braves v Valparaiso Beacons

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradley Braves (Local)

Prediction 67.37%1.48fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.30%67.47%68.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4573.53%70.80%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Valparaiso Beacons (Visit)

Prediction 32.63%3.06fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.374%
Kelly +0.553%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.11%32.70%32.53%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.65%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradley Braves (Local): 67.37%; Valparaiso Beacons (Visit): 32.63%. For Valparaiso Beacons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.16%E +0.374%K +0.553%G +0.006%3.7%2026-03-06 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV +0.508%E +0.165%K +0.244%G +0.001%3.9%2026-03-06 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV +0.508%E +0.165%K +0.244%G +0.001%3.9%2026-03-06 22:00
Everygame🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.10%E -0.701%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.10%E -0.701%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.10%E -0.701%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:55
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 22:49
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.01%E -3.55%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 22:00
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.73%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.01%E -3.55%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.71%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.71%E -5.63%K -20.83%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -4.71%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:39
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.37%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -7.03%E -5.10%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -5.69%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.32%E -1.60%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 23:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.02%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 22:35
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.99%E -2.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:54
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.66%E -2.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.00%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:54
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.01%E -3.55%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 22:55
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.36%E -4.57%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 23:59
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.99%E -2.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.34%E -3.06%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 22:49
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.01%E -3.55%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:55
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 23:45
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.69%E -4.06%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 23:55
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.38%E -6.16%K -23.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 23:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82%-0.1%2026-03-06 23:59
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-03-06 23:44
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-03-06 23:50
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-03-07 00:00
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.00%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.00%2.1%2026-03-06 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%3.3%2026-03-07 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%3.3%2026-03-07 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%4.2%2026-03-07 00:00