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Bowling Green Falcons v Western Michigan Broncos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bowling Green Falcons (Local)
Prediction 85.76%1.17fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -15.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.57%85.80%85.74%87.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.11%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Western Michigan Broncos (Visit)
Prediction 14.24%7.02fair odd
EV +8.38%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.106%
assuming max odds 7.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.63%14.20%14.26%16.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.456.257.6117.39%15.50%16.00%13.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bowling Green Falcons (Local): 85.76%; Western Michigan Broncos (Visit): 14.24%. For Western Michigan Broncos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.02. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.67%E -5.15%K -56.65%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +8.38%E +1.10%K +1.27%G +0.106% | 4.0% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.67%E -5.15%K -56.65%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +8.38%E +1.10%K +1.27%G +0.106% | 4.0% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.67%E -5.15%K -56.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +6.81%E +0.908%K +1.05%G +0.071% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.67%E -5.15%K -56.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +6.81%E +0.908%K +1.05%G +0.071% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.29%EV -3.95%E -3.53%K -32.92%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.71%EV +0.401%E +0.057%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-24 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.312%E -0.045%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.312%E -0.045%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.312%E -0.045%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-24 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.38%E -6.83%K -92.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.312%E -0.045%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.17%EV -3.95%E -3.53%K -32.92%G +0.000% | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.83%EV -0.596%E -0.085%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.87%E -0.574%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.87%E -0.574%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 23:32 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.95%E -3.53%K -32.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.43%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.95%E -3.53%K -32.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.43%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.09%E -2.74%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:38 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.52%E -5.98%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-24 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.52%E -5.98%K -72.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.99%E -1.76%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.83%EV -5.67%E -5.15%K -56.65%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -12.42%E -2.02%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.95%E -3.53%K -32.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.55%E -2.43%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.95%E -3.53%K -32.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.55%E -2.43%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.55%E -2.43%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.67%E -5.15%K -56.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.55%E -2.43%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -15.98%E -2.71%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.23%E -1.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -17.40%E -3.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.95%E -3.53%K -32.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.11%E -3.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -18.11%E -3.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.81%E -4.33%K -43.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -18.11%E -3.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.87% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 12.13% | -0.2% | 2026-02-24 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-02-24 23:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.49% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.51% | 1.4% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.73% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.27% | 2.3% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |