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Boise State Broncos v San José St Spartans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boise State Broncos (Local)
Prediction 89.94%1.11fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -35.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.06%89.59%90.10%90.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.061.061.0895.24%94.03%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San José St Spartans (Visit)
Prediction 10.06%9.94fair odd
EV +3.18%
Edge +0.310%
Kelly +0.343%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 10.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.36%10.41%9.90%12.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.208.849.0010.2613.89%11.31%11.11%9.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boise State Broncos (Local): 89.94%; San José St Spartans (Visit): 10.06%. For San José St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.94. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.64%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 10.26I 9.75%NM 9.36%EV +3.18%E +0.310%K +0.343%G +0.011% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 03:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.566%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.566%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.566%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 03:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.566%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 11:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -0.440%E -0.044%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -2.05%E -0.210%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -2.05%E -0.210%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.46%E -0.470%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.46%E -0.470%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.46%E -0.470%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.46%E -0.470%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 03:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.46%E -0.470%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 02:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.46%E -0.470%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 14:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.46%E -0.470%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 03:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.49%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.49%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.49%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.49%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.49%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.49%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.49%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.49%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.56%E -5.29%K -111.19%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.49%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -12.00%E -1.37%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -12.00%E -1.37%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.52%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 14:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.52%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.56%E -5.29%K -111.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.52%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 23:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.56%E -5.29%K -111.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.52%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 02:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.56%E -5.29%K -111.19%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -17.03%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.86%E -2.65%K -35.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.55%E -2.44%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.55%E -2.44%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.55%E -2.44%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.55%E -2.44%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -19.55%E -2.44%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.56%E -5.29%K -111.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.55%E -2.44%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.56%E -5.29%K -111.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.55%E -2.44%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -24.58%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 03:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -24.58%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 03:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -24.58%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 03:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -24.58%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.06%EV -3.76%E -3.51%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.94%EV -27.59%E -3.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 03:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 92.12% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.88% | -0.4% | 2026-03-12 03:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 02:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 10.99I 9.10%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 03:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 03:09 |