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Boise State Broncos v San Diego St Aztecs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boise State Broncos (Local)
Prediction 51.98%1.92fair odd
EV -0.711%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.781%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.86%51.97%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.841.9155.56%54.19%54.35%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego St Aztecs (Visit)
Prediction 48.02%2.08fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.14%48.03%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.951.952.0053.19%51.29%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boise State Broncos (Local): 51.98%; San Diego St Aztecs (Visit): 48.02%. For Boise State Broncos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.711%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.711%E -0.372%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -1.23%E -0.648%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -1.23%E -0.648%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -1.75%E -0.926%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -1.75%E -0.926%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -1.75%E -0.926%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -1.75%E -0.926%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -1.75%E -0.926%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 12:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 00:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.35%E -2.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.41%E -2.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.35%E -2.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.89%E -3.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 17:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 09:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 01:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 01:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.89%E -3.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.89%E -3.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.91%E -3.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 14:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 01:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 52.11% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.89% | -0.6% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.10% | 1.4% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |