Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.11
assuming max odds 8.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belmont Bruins (Local): 87.22%; Indiana St Sycamores (Visit): 12.78%. For Indiana St Sycamores (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.68%E -6.24%K -95.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.65%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.100% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +3.54%E +0.437%K +0.499%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.61%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.78I 12.85%NM 12.39%EV -0.549%E -0.071%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 15:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 21:02 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.53%K -54.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.13%E -0.550%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.37%EV -6.68%E -6.24%K -95.40%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.41%E -0.731%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -5.79%E -0.786%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -5.79%E -0.786%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -6.68%E -0.916%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.93%E -4.53%K -54.82%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -7.32%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.93%E -4.53%K -54.82%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -7.32%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.72%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.28%EV -9.88%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.52%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.52%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.52%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.52%E -1.50%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -13.72%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.81%E -5.38%K -72.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -13.72%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 22:02 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.91%E -2.60%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -18.19%E -2.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -18.19%E -2.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -18.19%E -2.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -18.19%E -2.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -18.19%E -2.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -18.19%E -2.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -18.19%E -2.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -18.19%E -2.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -18.19%E -2.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -18.19%E -2.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -20.11%E -3.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.39% | 9.44I 10.59%NM 10.61% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 23:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 23:00 |