Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.13
assuming max odds 8.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belmont Bruins (Local): 86.49%; Drake Bulldogs (Visit): 13.51%. For Drake Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.40. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.87%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.46%E -6.97%K -106.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.73%E -5.26%K -63.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 16:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -4.00%E -3.60%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV +2.03%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.87%E -4.42%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.35%E +0.180%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.87%E -4.42%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.35%E +0.180%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.87%E -4.42%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.35%E +0.180%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.87%E -4.42%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.35%E +0.180%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.00%E -3.60%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -0.403%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -4.00%E -3.60%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -0.403%E -0.055%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.31%EV -3.14%E -2.80%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.69%EV -4.59%E -0.650%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.00%E -3.60%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.40%E -0.772%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.00%E -3.60%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.40%E -0.772%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.87%E -4.42%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.40%E -0.772%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.87%E -4.42%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.40%E -0.772%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.00%E -3.60%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -6.75%E -0.979%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 17:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.87%E -4.42%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -8.11%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.87%E -4.42%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -8.11%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.00%E -3.60%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.78%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 17:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.59%E -6.11%K -82.44%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -8.78%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.59%E -6.11%K -82.44%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -8.78%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.59%E -6.11%K -82.44%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -8.78%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.87%E -4.42%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.87%E -4.42%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.73%E -5.26%K -63.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.73%E -5.26%K -63.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.59%E -6.11%K -82.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.14%E -2.80%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -16.21%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.57%E -2.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.57%E -2.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.57%E -2.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.57%E -2.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.57%E -2.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.57%E -2.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -17.57%E -2.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -18.92%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -18.92%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -18.92%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -18.92%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.14%E -2.80%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.92%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.14%E -2.80%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.92%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.00%E -3.60%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.92%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.00%E -3.60%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.92%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -2.27%E -2.01%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -27.03%E -5.00%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 17:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.20% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.80% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.80% | 8.06I 12.41%NM 12.20% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 17:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 2.3% | 2026-03-06 17:45 |